Expert assessment method in foresight studies
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Foresight in health sciences using Causal Layered Analysis method
Background: Development in health is not possible without progress of science. Rapid changes in the various areas make the future health system more complex and risky. Therefore, foresight of health sciences is very important. Methods: This futures studies was conducted in 4 steps; also, literature and documents review, statistics and information review, focus group discussions, w...
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BACKGROUND Historically substance misuse has been relatively common in western countries, but comparatively few Finns report drug use. The Drugs 2020 study aimed at foreseeing changes in the drug situation in Finland by the year 2020. METHODS The Delphi method was used, utilizing drug experts of the EU national network in Finland. RESULTS Marked growth was foreseen in drug use, especially i...
متن کاملCognitive Sciences Strategies for Futures Studies (Foresight)
Abstract: It seems before understanding the mind structure and laws governing the process of perception, we’ve gone into the application of science to build better futures. This is because the science begins with attitude not the reality.The major goal of this study is to identify qualitative relationships among key variables across of Cognitive Sciences (CS) with Futures Studies (FS).Ideas and...
متن کاملKnowledge creation dynamics in foresight: A knowledge typology and exploratory method to analyse foresight workshops
Article history: Received 5 April 2014 Received in revised form 30 August 2014 Accepted 11 October 2014 Available online 11 November 2014 A typical foresight process involves stakeholders exploring the futures and interpreting the results to present actions. In other words, participants create knowledge about the future. Interaction between the participants is a key ingredient of foresight, yet...
متن کاملExpert Assessment of Arguments: A Method and Its Experimental Evaluation
Argument structures are commonly used to develop and present cases for safety, security and other properties. Such argument structures tend to grow excessively. To deal with this problem, appropriate methods of their assessment are required. Two objectives are of particular interest: (1) systematic and explicit assessment of the compelling power of an argument, and (2) communication of the resu...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Statistics and Economics
سال: 2019
ISSN: 2500-3925
DOI: 10.21686/2500-3925-2019-4-4-13